Gold miners were under heavy assault for weeks. They have had a nice bounce recently and have also been outperforming GOLD a little
There has been a lot of improvement in breadth (as measured b y Summation and McClellan)
Notice that McClellan downtrend is broken, Summation has turned positive, and Buy/Sell pressure has turned to the BUY side
There has been improvement in structure (as measure by proprietary MAI and OEW indicators)
But notice that, first Weekly MAI is still downtrending and Daily MAI is at neutral while price is hitting resistance based on 2010 breakout line
Meanwhile, GLD has hit some resistance based on 2011 breakout line
I am of the view that the recent low in Gold was a short-term, mid-term, and yearly cycle low ((all coinciding)). I am also of the view is that gold is currently within a timing band for a short-term cycle low. It is important that the recent low of Gold is not violated by the next short-term cycle low.
That would keep the cycle structure right-translated which is required for a positive price environment for the PM-related issues including GDX
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S&P 500 – May 15, 2012
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Bottom Line: Long term trend is up. Mid-term trend is down. Short-term
trend is down Weekly S&P stage is Late Advance (2-C) Daily S&P stage is
Strong Decli...
1 year ago




